Create and trade with play-money prediction markets on any topic you care about.
Prediction markets allow you to bet on the outcome of future events. Create a play-money prediction market on any topic you care about. Trade with your friends to forecast the future.
Users trade in a market to reflect what they believe is the truce chance of the event happening. As more users trade, the wisdom of the crowd moves the probability to the true chance of the event happening. Since these probabilities are public, anyone can use them to make more informed decisions!
At Manifold, we believe we can make prediction markets a fun way to interact with friends, build communities over shared interests, and facilitate the sharing of information!
Users trade in a market to reflect what they believe is the truce chance of the event happening. As more users trade, the wisdom of the crowd moves the probability to the true chance of the event happening. Since these probabilities are public, anyone can use them to make more informed decisions!
At Manifold, we believe we can make prediction markets a fun way to interact with friends, build communities over shared interests, and facilitate the sharing of information!
